Predictions of doom. Every game has them, and bloggers love to give them.
I’m anticipating the game to start fizzling out sometime in the next few weeks. Friends of mine and some people whose blogs/websites I follow have already reported a decline in the overall number of people on servers and actively doing things. Anyone else notice this?
The short answer is no.
The longer answer is that any noticable differences in population is more likely to be due to players spreading out across zones rather than deserting the game.
Consider that at this stage (6 to 8 weeks) with Warhammer Online, during Australian primetime, I could run across some of the lower level zones and not see a single player. In Rift at 6 to 8 weeks, it’s rare not to see other players. Meridian always has players, and yesterday in Stonefield there had to be at least 30 players battling a major rift invasion.
Sure, Rift will have lost some players. There will always be new players who try out the game, not like it, and leave. That’s not fizzle, that’s just the way it works.
Aside from the fuss over the World Event, it looks like Rift is doing just fine.
It is certainly doing better than Warhammer Online, and that game is still running and under active development.